Dec 8 - Dec 12 ESDaily Gameplans

Last Updated - Dec 8 5:39AM

Daily Gameplans Listed Below

- Monday December 8
- Tuesday December 9
- Wednesday December 10
- Thursday December 11
- Friday December 12
- ESDaily Strategy - Trade Rules - Key Level Codes (New Reader Must-Read)

Current Open Position(s) as of Dec 8

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Monday December 8, 2025

Pressure Isn’t Progress

Last week wasn’t hard because the market moved.
Last week was hard because it didn’t with any conviction.

We spent five straight sessions underneath 6900, the tightest coil in recent memory. We’re pressing into the same supply that has been sitting there since the October divergence. Price kept pushing into it, but it never expanded. Every attempt at strength kept ending in the same place: stalled candles, stalled momentum, stalled conviction.

Broken record.

That’s the part most traders never recognize soon enough… a market that’s moving, but not progressing, and the mixed signals make it a tough reward:risk environment

We’ve basically built a staircase into resistance without any of the things that normally accompany a real breakout. No acceleration. No momentum shift. No emotional behavior. Just a grind.

And when a market grinds like this, it doesn’t offer opportunity.
It tempts you to chase the wrong ones.

Structure kept telling us the same thing over and over: nothing tradable was there. Everything was still inside the coil. Everything was still rotating around the same mid-6852s hinge. Every dip and every pop stayed inside a shape that hadn’t resolved.

This morning, the picture hasn’t changed much.

We’re ~ 30 points above that hinge.

We’re still sitting just underneath that 6900 major resistance.
Daily RSI is still pinned under 60.
The higher timeframe still hasn’t confirmed any shift in momentum.

And the biggest catalyst of the month, FOMC, is sitting right in front of us due out Wednesday.

So the job today is the same, just more important.
We don’t get paid for predicting the breakout.
We get paid for recognizing the moment the market stops pretending and finally shows its hand.

If the coil releases, we’ll see it.
If the trap sets, we’ll know it.
If nothing changes, we sit tight and protect the only edge we can control, patience and risk.

Let’s Dive into the Time Frame Analysis and Today’s Opportunities

Daily

The daily still has the market pinned underneath the same October supply zone. We’ve climbed right back into it, but none of the candles show strength. They’re small. Controlled. Heavy. Exactly what it looks like when price is leaning against a ceiling instead of breaking through it.

RSI continues to hover under 60. Close enough to tease, not strong enough to declare anything. Until this resolves the daily is stuck between two competing forces: buyers defending every shallow pullback, and sellers defending the same 6900 above.

It’s pressure without direction.

4 Hr

The 4h hasn’t changed its posture, but the way it’s holding is worth noting.

Last week, the 4h kept absorbing every dip into the 6852 and the 6864, but it never pushed with intent. That dynamic is still in place. We’re inching higher, printing a string of higher lows, but none of them have expanded into a real impulse. The structure looks like a slow push into resistance, not a breakout forming underneath it.

This is the kind of behavior you often see just before a catalyst, and this week is set to bring one with the data dump.

Look for pre-event position to stay inside this large coil.

45 Min

The 45m is almost identical to the end of last week, only slightly shifted upward.

Price is still rotating inside a tight band, still rebounding from the same intraday shelves, and still failing at the same overhead pushes. You can see how neatly the market keeps snapping between the mid-6800s base and the underside of the 6900 supply.

This is a hinge.
A tightening one.

The higher lows keep tracking upward, but the highs aren’t moving. That’s the hallmark of compression pressing directly into supply — buyers get bolder, sellers don’t budge.

From a trading perspective, this remains the same message: nothing inside this range has enough distance or speed to generate real reward. The edges matter. The interior does not.

15 Min

The 15m finally shows some definition, but it’s definition inside the bigger picture. Micro swings, cleaner rotations, slightly firmer shelves.

But brutally tight.

You can see the tug-of-war clearly: quick pushes into the upper 6880 are fading, quick drops into the 6860-6850 are catching. That tells me liquidity is building at both ends. When you start seeing that, you know the coil is nearly finished. The market is stocking both sides, waiting for the release.

But the 15m alone can’t tell us which way.
It just shows where the reaction points live.

The real shift only happens when price either breaks the larger time frame. Everything inside this box is just noise designed to tempt impatient traders.

Here’s The Opportunities I’m looking at Monday morning with ES printing 6880

The positioning into the open tells a very clear story: price has spent the entire morning pressing directly underneath the 6900 supply, failing to separate from it, and refusing to break down from the higher lows built last week. Because of that, several levels have tightened and a few have shifted priority compared to Friday.