Here’s how I’m looking at things going into the close after the 6594 low

We finally have a real fight on our hands
(Picture outlining this below)

For the first time since Sunday, ES pushed hard enough to breach 60 on the RSI this morning.

That matters… because every rally for the past week has died under that band.

Today was the first sign of momentum trying to turn the corner.
Structure backs it up.

Look at the 45m.

Since the 6594 low… we’ve printed a clean series of higher lows.

And every one of those lows held above 40 on RSI.
That’s the behavior shift I’ve been waiting for.

Higher lows… higher momentum… and now a push back toward the underside of the 89 EMA.

We’re still below it.
Sellers still own the higher timeframe trend.
But buyers are finally building something.

On the 4H, the shelves are clear:

• 6635 — defended well
• 6648 — stable
• 6679 — reclaim in progress
• 6694 — tested

That’s the stack.
That’s the staircase the bulls have to climb.

We’ve also got something we haven’t had: RSI back above 40 on the 4H after printing the divergence at 6594.

That’s how bottoms form. Not confirmed… but it’s the opening.

Here’s the big picture:

Bulls have a structure to defend now.

They’ve got a low.
They’ve got momentum alignment.
They’ve got a sequence.

But until they take control above the 89 EMA on the 45m… and fully reclaim 6694 with acceptance… this remains a counter-trend rebuild attempt inside a broader downtrend.

Sellers aren’t gone.
But buyers finally have something to work with.

Going into the close, I’m watching:

• Can buyers hold this rising 45m trendline?
• Can they keep RSI above 40 on both the 45m and 4H?
• Can they finish the day above 6679 and press into 6694 again?

If they can, Thursday opens clean.
If they can’t, sellers step back in quickly.

That’s my read heading into the bell.

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