Nov 24 - Nov 28 ESDaily Gameplans

Last Updated - Nov 24 8:39AM

Daily Gameplans Listed Below

- Monday November 24
- Tuesday November 25
- Wednesday November 26
- Thursday November 27
- Friday November 28
- ESDaily Strategy - Trade Rules - Key Level Codes (New Reader Must-Read)

Current Open Position(s) as of Nov 25

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Monday November 24, 2025

Quiet Weeks Don’t Mean Quiet Tape

The Monday before Thanksgiving is always its own kind of market.

Everything slows… but not evenly.
Volume dries up.
Liquidity pockets widen.
The tape gets that soft, almost hesitant feel to it where every rotation looks smaller than it should.
Half the participants disappear.
The rest press only when it matters.

And years of watching this week have taught me one thing.
Holiday markets rarely change structure… but they often confirm it.

You get fewer impulses.
But the impulses that do show up tend to be clean.
You get fewer traps.
But the traps that form tend to be sharper.
And you get long stretches of nothing where the tape sits still, waiting for someone to finally take responsibility for the next leg.

That waiting is the tell.
If the market wants lower, it starts grinding into shelves instead of reacting off them.
If the market wants higher, it starts rejecting levels faster than it did last week.
None of that requires big volume.
It requires clarity.
Holiday weeks bring that clarity because every move counts a little more when fewer traders are around to hide it.

That is where we are this morning.

Thursday gave us the liquidation that broke the structure.
Real selling.
Fast.
Decisive.
The kind of leg that does not leave questions.

Friday was the first real response.
I sat out.
I wanted clean information, not noise.
And the chart gave it.

Buyers stepped in.
They didn’t reclaim anything meaningful, but they did send a message.
They defended Thursday’s low.
They pressed into the mid-6600s.
They drove it all the way to 6677.75 in the afternoon.
Not enough to flip the script…
but enough to show they were still alive.

Then Sunday opened and confirmed the idea.
We held the 6590s on first contact.
No breakdown.
No continuation of Thursday’s weakness.
No new damage.
Just stability beneath the same shelves that rejected on Friday.

So here we are.
The Monday before Thanksgiving.
The tape slower… but clearer.
The shelves tighter… but cleaner.
The trend still down… but no longer one sided.

For me this is a day to read structure first and expectation second.
Holiday weeks reward patience.
They punish anticipation.
I am flat coming in and letting the tape tell me if Friday’s effort was a warning shot… or just a bounce inside a larger unwind.

Let’s dig into the timeframes.

Let’s Dive into the Time Frame Analysis and Today’s Opportunities

Daily

The daily still leans lower.
Every major swing high since early November sits beneath the prior one.
Momentum is soft.
RSI lives in the low 40s where trends often slow but have not reversed.
The liquidation into 6525 marked the deepest test since early October.

But the key on this timeframe is not the downtrend.
It is the lack of follow-through.

Thursday broke the shelves.
Friday did not add new damage.
Sunday did not extend lower.

When a trend wants continuation it keeps pushing through the broken levels.
When a trend wants time it starts compressing.

That is where we are.
Compression after damage.
No reversal.
No collapse.

Buyers need a reclaim above 6710–6725 before the daily shifts tone.
Until that happens, this is still a corrective leg with a temporary floor.

4 Hr

The 4h chart shows the fight.

The shelves that matter have not changed.
6648
6679
6694
6710

Thursday broke all of them.
Friday tested them.
None reclaimed.

At the same time the buyers carved out a base around 6590–6600.
That is the first higher low since Thursday.

This timeframe is tightening.
Energy on both sides cooling.
Momentum curling upward.
Structure still leaning down.

Whichever side wins 6590 versus 6679 decides the next real leg.
Holiday or not… the 4h will show it first.

45 Min

This is the clearest view of the repair.

6525 → higher low
6600 → another higher low
6677.75 → the squeeze high that confirmed buyers were willing to test the shelves

The structure here is not bullish.
It is rebuilding.
Slowly.
Carefully.
Under pressure.

The ceiling is defined.
6679–6694
Tried Friday.
Tried Sunday.
Still holding.

The floor is defined.
6590–6624
Held Friday.
Held Sunday.

The 45m chart is coiling between these zones.
Breaks of either side will be clean.

15 Min

The microstructure is balanced and controlled.

• Pullbacks shallow

• Rips measured

• RSI oscillating mid-band

• No signs of exhaustion

• No signs of aggression

This is the tape waiting.
Each dip into 6620–6640 shows buyers.
Each push into 6680 shows sellers.
No one has slipped yet.

Holiday flow often creates these tightening coils.
The breakout matters more than the pace.

Here’s The Opportunities I’m looking at Monday morning with ES printing 6665